https://cis.temple.edu/~pwang/Publication/heuristic.pdf
ABSTRA CT Psycholo gic al evidenc e shows that pr ob ability the ory is notapr op er descriptive mo del of intuitive human judgment. Inste ad, some heuristics have b e en pr op ose d as such a descriptive mo del. This p ap er ar gues that pr ob ability the ory has limi- tations even as a normative mo del. A new normative mo del of judgment under unc ertainty is designe d under the assumption ...