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https://cis.temple.edu/~pwang/Publication/OpenNARS.pdf
kc = j jtB tCj + jtT tCj where tB is the original occurrence time of the belief, tT the occurrence time it is projected to, and tC the current time. The new con dence of the belief is then
https://cis.temple.edu/~latecki/Courses/CIS2033-Spring12/ElementaryProbabilityforApplications/ch3.pdf
Another way of saying this is that if we ignore the outcomes that result in a sum other than 5 or 7, we reduce the sample space from Ω to E = E5 ∪ E7 and the distribution of the first outcome that lands in E follows the conditional probability P(·|E).